Analysis – Democratic Primaries, It’s Still Anyone’s Game

If you base average polling of the Democratic Primaries in 1992 between January and June before Bill Clinton took the nomination, you might feel a little more hopeful about your Democratic primary candidate for the upcoming 2020 election..

At the time, former New York Governor Mario Cuomo was averaging 20.7% while Bill Clinton was averaging 1.7%. As history tells us, Bill Clinton went on to become a two term president.

Currently Joe Biden has a significant lead in both national polls and in early battleground states which makes him the clear front runner. According to Morning Consult, Biden leads at 38% with Democratic Primary Voters nationally. Trailing him in second place is Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders at 20% and in third place is Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren at 9%. Other notable names on the list include Peter Buttigieg 7%, Kamala Harris 7%, Beto O’Rourke 4%, Cory Booker 3%, Michael Bennet 1%, and Julian Castro 1% all who still have a fighting chance to win the election.

According to Morning Consult, ” The latest results are based on 16,368 interviews with registered voters, collected from May 20-26 2019.”



Categories: Election 2020, Opinion, political

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